Thursday, November 16, 2017

Earth and Sea: Coastal hazards.


Coastal Hazards are physical phenomena that expose a coastal area to risk of property damage, loss of life and environmental degradation. The risk that a natural hazard poses is considered by estimating the impact that it would have on the people, services, facilities, and structures in a coastal community. Risk is typically defined as “probability of an event x consequence” and the greater the frequency and/or impacts, the greater the risk.
Coastal hazards are caused by different mechanisms, producing ’drivers‘ that directly affect the coast. Coastal hazards can be grouped into categories:

·        coastal inundation (or flooding)

·        coastal erosion (cut-back) and accretion (too much sediment)

·        recreational and maritime hazards.

Coastal-hazard drivers come from storms, winds, sea-level changes due to climate variability (for example, seasonal and El Niño), and earthquakes that rupture the seabed (which can create tsunamis). 
1.     Flooding
Flooding may result from a coastal storm, dam break, or a heavy rainfall within the coastal watershed. Development continues to intensify within flood-prone and marginal areas along the coast or in coastal watersheds. Protecting floodplains preserves the natural functions of ecosystems and also helps prevent loss of life and property from damaging floods.
2.     Lake Levels
Low water levels present a hazard to navigation and water supply intakes, and limit riparian landowners’ access to the lake. High lake levels cause widespread flooding and bluff erosion. During these high water periods, storm surge and storm waves can cause severe property damage and shoreline erosion. Areas on the Great Lakes that experience chronic flood and erosion damages were typically constructed during times of low lake levels. 
3.     Storms
The main threats associated with these hazards are storm surge, high winds, heavy rain and flooding, as well as tornadoes. Winter storms can produce rough lake conditions, coastal flooding, and beach erosion. Strong winter storms are also responsible for significant land losses around the Great Lakes.
4.     Erosion
Coastal erosion is a process whereby large storms, flooding, strong wave action and human activities – such as inappropriate land use, alterations, and shore protection structures – wear away beaches and bluffs during a flood or storm or over a period of years. Erosion undermines and often destroys homes, businesses, and public infrastructure and can have long-term economic and social consequences.

Climate change will affect three out of the five causes of coastal hazards. Even tsunamis, which are generated by geological processes unaffected by climate change, will eventually pose a slightly larger threat because they will ride on top of a higher sea level.

    To understand the important role that the coast line paly here is an explanation. In its natural state, the coast acts as a buffer to the dynamic ocean colliding with a fixed landmass. The coast must at times absorb tremendous energy generated by large waves, severe winds, storms, and tsunamis – and take the rap over a very narrow buffer zone. Mostly, the coast absorbs this energy by wave-breaking in shallower water and by either flexing through the movement of large quantities of sand or gravel (causing beach erosion or accretion) or providing a barrier, such as a cliff or sand dune, high enough for gravity to halt the sea’s onslaught. When properties, infrastructure, and people get caught up in this buffer zone, these natural coastal processes become hazards. https://www.niwa.co.nz/publications/wa/vol15-no3-september-2007/coastal-hazards-rising-problems

   Since Morocco has 3500 km (2174.8 miles) of coastal lines, coastal hazards are common. Many areas face several damages mainly due to the lack of necessary defense mechanism. Some of the country’s coastal land is located below the sea level. the northeast of the country ( near a city named Nador) where many small islands start disappearing under water. Another example, The Tangier coastal strip of the northern coast of Morocco located at the western end of the Strait of Gibraltar between the Mediterranean Sea and the Atlantic Ocean; is at risk and that’s because the earthquakes that are generated from the tectonic plate of the African and Eurasian one. Not only that, the 1 November 1755 event is the most destructive tsunami ever reported along the Moroccan Atlantic coast. It was caused by an earthquake of magnitude 8.5 in some places the water penetrated more than 2000 m inland. The most recent tsunamis that were observed in Morocco without appreciable damage are those of 25 November 1941, and of 28 February 1969. The 1941 tsunami was triggered by a Mw 8.3 strike-slip earthquake in the Atlantic; the waves were recorded by the gauges in Casablanca and Essaouira with maximum amplitudes of 25 (9.8 inch) and 45 cm (17.7 inches), respectively.http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/19475705.2013.858373

And in the last couple of year, morocco have seen some storm surges that pushed the water inland bringing with it debris from the sea, such as rocks from Crashing violent waves that hit the coastline. In the early hours of Friday, February 3, 2014, the coast of Salé and Casablanca were hit by very high waves.


the wave height reached 9 meters (29.5 foot), submerging neighborhoods and coastal areas of Sale, Rabat, Mohammedia, Casablanca, El Jadida, Safi, and Agadir. These have caused significant damage to several houses on the coastal road. Following these huge waves, roads were completely covered with mud and sand blocking the traffic for several hours. As for the inhabitants of the districts submerged by the waves, they were quickly evacuated. fortunately, no lives were taken except property damages and complete chaos.

In the city of Casablanca, which is the biggest city of Morocco, Coastal erosion and submersion will be particularly affected by the sea level rise indirectly provoked by global warming through the thermal expansion of water masses (dilation) and the melting of the polar ice cap, and a study showed that an overall sea level rise of 20cm by the year 2030. In the Casablanca region, the coastal stretch exposed to a high risk of erosion or submersion will remain approximately identical to the present situation, which is around 40km of coastline. The sea level rise will however slightly increase the risk of submersion of low-lying areas. 


http://www.cmimarseille.org/sites/default/files/newsite/library/files/en//UD2_wk2_Study_Morocco_ExecutiveSummaryPhase1_EN.pdf

In an attempt to limit this phenomenal, the Kingdom is launching multiple projects that re-construct the shape of the most vulnerable coast line by creating artificial islands and completely reshaping how the water is coming in contact with the land by reinforcing the sea wall. In addition, the country is also conducting several study areas that are potentially at risk, from forecasting system for waves and storm tide levels, use of real-time monitoring to update emergency managers on storm tide, waves, and tsunamis, developing models for estimating potential damage to the built environment to guide decisions on risk. These study will result in having a detailed map, Building classification based on primary (intrinsic) factors of vulnerability, and Damage matrix obtained for building vulnerability derived from the vulnerability functions.